Friday, November 07, 2014

Robots Replacing Humans (If just half of this is true, it will change everything)




The rise of the robots is happening.  The robotic age will reshape human development at least as much as the computer age that we are in now and the industrial age that preceded us.

I searched the topic of “robots replacing humans” on Google and I found a diverse set of experts saying that we are just two or three decades away from totally transforming the job market of the world with anywhere from half conservatively to nearly all of human jobs replaced by robots.  I have compiled below some insights from these sources including links.

Best regards, Tate 
infohive@gmail.com

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Diverse insights condensed from a few Google searches:

a.      Robots work harder and don’t ask for overtime - “The robot can work 24 hours a day, which is at least three times a human shift. This actually implies they could be doing seven or eight jobs.” - Software Robots’ Hidden Benefit: Scale - Wired, Sep, 2014
b.      Unexpected seismic change coming - “Technology over time will reduce demand for jobs, particularly at the lower end of skill set. … 20 years from now, labour demand for lots of skill sets will be substantially lower. I don’t think people have that in their mental model.” - Bill Gates: People Don't Realise How Many Jobs Will Soon Be Replaced By Software Bots, Business Insider, March 14, 2014
c.      Nobody is prepared for this - “Even if new jobs and wonderful products emerge, in the short term income gaps will widen, causing huge social dislocation and perhaps even changing politics. Technology’s impact will feel like a tornado, hitting the rich world first, but eventually sweeping through poorer countries too. No government is prepared for it.” Coming to an office near you - The Economist, Jan 18th, 2014
d.      Nearly every job can be automated to some degree - “The Terminator franchise imagines a future where robots are out to kill humans, but in reality, they’re just out to make us feel professionally useless. The more advanced we get as a society, the less we actually need people to do stuff. And it’s not just menial jobs — nobody is safe from android-induced early retirement. Here are 17 jobs that may never be performed by a human again.” - 17 Robots That Are Here To Take Your Job, MTV News, August 12, 2014
e.      Drones, drones, everywhere drones - “In five years, drones will be a standard part of operations in many industries, used in agriculture, geographical surveys and oil and gas pipeline inspections.  Drones are just one of many kinds of emerging technologies that extend well beyond the traditional information technology world.” One in three jobs will be taken by software or robots by 2025, Computer World, October 6, 2014
f.       Robots will replace 47% of American workers - “Abstract - We examine how susceptible jobs are to computerisation. To assess this, we begin by implementing a novel methodology to estimate the probability of computerisation for 702 detailed occupations, using a Gaussian process classifier. Based on these estimates, we examine expected impacts of future computerisation on US labour market outcomes, with the primary objective of analysing the number of jobs at risk and the relationship between an occupation’s probability of computerisation, wages and educational attainment. According to our estimates, about 47 percent of total US employment is at risk. We further provide evidence that wages and educational attainment exhibit a strong negative relationship with an occupation’s probability of computerisation.” - THE FUTURE OF EMPLOYMENT: HOW SUSCEPTIBLE ARE JOBS TO COMPUTERISATION? Department of Engineering Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 3PJ, United Kingdom, September 17, 2013
g.      Robots will replace up to 70% of global jobs - “As much as seventy percent of the human race will become obsolete within just three generations. Why? Because robotics technology is advancing at such a rapid pace that highly-capable humanoid robots with advanced vision recognition and motor coordination systems are going to take over most menial labor jobs.” Robotics revolution to replace most human workers in three generations; labor class to be systematically eliminated – Natural News, September 29, 2013
h.      Robots could replace 80% of current jobs - “In a few decades, robots and their associated technology will be as ubiquitous as mobile phones are today… could replace ‘workers for 80 percent of current jobs.’ Study indicates Robots could replace 80% of Jobs – RobotEnomics, April 16, 2014
i.       Routine and repetitive tasks will be first to go - “And, for the nitty-gritty breakdown, here's a chart of the ten jobs with a 99-percent likelihood of being replaced by machines and software. They are mostly routine-based jobs (telemarketing, sewing) and work that can be solved by smart algorithms (tax preparation, data entry keyers, and insurance underwriters). At the bottom, I've also listed the dozen jobs they consider least likely to be automated. Health care workers, people entrusted with our safety, and management positions dominate the list.” - What Jobs Will the Robots Take? The Atlantic, January 2014
j.       How many robots are now working out there in industry? 742,500 worldwide - Japan 402,200; United States 92,900; Germany 81,200; Italy 35,000; Rep. of Korea 33,700; France 18,200; United Kingdom 11,500; Spain 10,500; Russian Federation 10,000. - The Boom in Robot Investment Continues, United Nations Economic Conditions for Europe, 17 October 2000 (quite an old link)


Examples:
  1. Fast Food Worker – “Momentum Machines just unveiled a robot capable of flipping burgers and slicing veggies at a rate of one burger every 10 seconds.”
  2. Drivers – “Google announced last fall that it was working on automated cars as a way to increase safety and help humans reduce the time spent commuting to work. With human supervisors in the passenger seat, seven test cars have driven 1,000 miles without human intervention and more than 140,000 miles with only occasional human control.”
  3. Pilots – “now that drones can fly over land in the U.S., commercial flight pilots might be similarly replaced.”
  4. Astronauts - Equipped with a wide array of sensors and dexterous five fingered hands, it will initially handle menial jobs such as cleaning the spacestation and assisting humans in space operations.”
  5. Telemarketers – Search “robot telemarker” on YouTube for a demonstration.
  6. Store clerks – “ATM machines reduce the need for bank tellers, virtual assistants can answer the phone 24 hours a day, and self-service machines are reducing the need for checkout clerks.”
  7. Reporters – “AP now plans to generate and sell thousands of automated business articles a year. The robot-written stories will bring up the AP's story count in this area by an order of magnitude, Poynter reports. Over the past few years, several news organizations have used robot writers for some of their stories. Forbes uses algorithms from the startup Narrative Science to find and write short stories about companies whose stocks are doing well. The Los Angeles Times uses bots, developed by one of its own journalists, to publish immediate reports about area earthquakes and homicides. The AP will use business reports generated by a company called Automated Insights, Poynter reports.
  8. Sportswriters – “After a game, scorekeepers e-mail game data to Narrative Science, which feeds it into a computer and spits out a story in minutes.”
  9. Lawyers and paralegals – “Blackstone Discovery of Palo Alto, CA provided software that helped analyze 1.5 million documents for less than $100,000. “People get bored, people get headaches. Computers don’t.
  10. Doctors – “a combo of medical record clouds and robotic surgeons could eliminate the need for human medics”
  11. Pharmacists – “Machines assemble doses onto a thin plastic ring that contains all the medications for a patient for a 12-hour period, which is bar-coded.”
  12. Recruiters – “The use of people analytics continues post hire to further develop, nurture and retain talent.”
  13. Soldiers – “the robot is equipped with a GPS monitor; it can be programmed to differentiate between fire and no-fire zones, to open doors, and even to drag out injured bodies.”
  14. Farm workers – “Now engineers are developing intelligent machines to do farm work and help ease a worsening labor shortage on American farms.
  15. Babysitters – “perfect for "whoever does not have a lot time to stay with child," according to a vendor and NEC’s PaPeRo robot, which tells jokes, gives quizzes, and can track kids using a radio-frequency identification chip.”
  16. Teachers – “Computers hold all of our knowledge anyway, so this is pretty much inevitable. A robot teacher could simply recite Wikipedia articles, break up fights, send kids to the robo-principal — all without a teacher’s union.”
  17. Artists – “Robots can fly a plane and perform surgery better than humans, but only we can create beautiful works of art, right? Nope, robots are already there.”
  18. Rescuers – “the most useful robots could be aerial drones that can provide aerial inspections or ROV’s, which can help locate underwater objects and determine the condition of bridges and pipelines, according to the Center for Robot-Assisted Search and Rescue at Texas A&M University.”
  19. Prostitutes – “The movie “A.I.” predicted android gigolos in 2001, and now a sex robot actually exists.”
  20. Singers – “Auto-Tune was the beginning, but robotic opera singers and pop music automation are already here. Soon, computers will be able to write, perform and predict the formula of hit songs. If you think some pop stars are manufactured now, what if they were literally built in a factory?”
  21. Robot Engineers – “The ultimate science-fiction nightmare: Robots that can build themselves. It’s already happening.”

Industrial robots are defined as automatically controlled, reprogrammable, multipurpose manipulator programmable in three or more axes, which may be either fixed or mobile for use in industrial automation applications. 

Service robotics are all other robots and robotic applications and systems than industrial robots.






Most remaining factory jobs are "likely to diminish over the next decades," they write. Cashiers, counter clerks, and telemarketers are similarly endangered. On the far right side of this graph, you can see the industry breakdown of the 47 percent of jobs they consider at "high risk."

 





 

The darker side of robotics:

To the typical naive citizen, all this talk about robots taking over menial labor jobs sounds futuristic and exciting. "We can all sit back and relax!" they'll say. "The robots will do all the work for us!"

Except for just one thing: the only real reason laborer populations are tolerated by the rich and powerful who really control the world is because laborers are needed to run the economy. Someone needs to pick the crops, sweep the floors and do the dry cleaning, in other words. Once capable humanoid robots transition into all the jobs currently carried out by flesh-and-blood humans, there will be no further need for a large segment of the human population.






On a brighter note:

Roy Jenkins, a once prominent British union leader once said, "Someone invented work and it's time we abolished it." I believe that one day the work will be done by people who want to work, doing only the interesting tasks while robots turn out the goods we need. 

"The fact is, that civilization requires slaves. The Greeks were quite right there. Unless there are slaves to do the ugly, horrible, uninteresting work, culture, and contemplation become almost impossible. Human slavery is wrong, insecure, and demoralizing. On mechanical slavery, on the slavery of the machine, the future of the world depends." -- Oscar Wilde 

 

Thursday, May 17, 2012

A Special Report On the Fukushima Nuclear Catastrophe

The news is so biased against certain parts of the world and certain nationalities. 

When it comes to Chernobyl, the whole world was in a state of alarm.  But now with Fukushima things are obviously much worse and the threats are global but nobody cares because the Japanese are on "our side".  

Is that what we are going to tell the next 10,000 species that die-off specifically because of this event?  This is sizing up to be the biggest threat the modern world has seen and where is the lame stream news?  Nowhere to be found. 

If alternative news doesn't replace lame stream, we will be truly lame as a species as far as fixing problems or stopping mad science from running amok.

Article follows below...

http://cosmicconvergence.org/?p=641

A Special Report On the Fukushima Nuclear Catastrophe

Just prior to the Supermoon of March 18th, 2011, the world witnessed a natural and manmade disaster of epic proportions. What transpired off the coast of Honshu Island, Japan on March 11 has forever altered the planet and irremediably affected the global environment. Whereas the earthquake and tsunami proved to be truly apocalyptic events for the people of Japan, the ongoing nuclear disaster at Fukushima is proving to be cataclysmic for the entire world.

Most of the world community is still unaware of the extremely profound and far-reaching effects that the Fukushima nuclear disaster has had. If the nations of the world really understood the implications of the actual ‘fallout’ – past, current and future – the current nuclear energy paradigm would be systematically shut down. For those of us who are in the know, it is incumbent upon each of us to disseminate the relevant information/data necessary to forever close down the nuclear power industry around the globe.

There is now general agreement that the state of the art of nuclear power generation is such that it was deeply flawed and fundamentally dangerous from the very beginning. This fact was completely understood to be the case by the industry insiders and original financiers of every nuclear power plant ever built. Nuclear engineers had a very good understanding of just how vulnerable the design, engineering and architecture was at the startup of this industry. Nevertheless, they proceeded with this ill-fated enterprise at the behest of who?  

Therefore, this begs the question, “Why would such an inherently unsafe technology and unstable design be implemented worldwide in the first place?”

More importantly, “Who ought to be responsible for mitigating this ongoing planetary nuclear disaster?” And, is there any practical way this predicament can be fixed? Is there technology available which can address this situation in any meaningful way?

With the increasing energy needs of the global economy pushing energy-poor nations like Japan into nuclear power, the economic incentive has always overridden good judgment. Especially in Japan do we see a nation that was literally set up to be a poster child for the nuclear power industry. This, in a place that is known to be the most seismically active region in the world!

“Does anyone in their right mind believe that nuclear power plants can ever be designed, engineered or constructed to withstand 9.0 earthquakes followed by 15 meter high tsunamis? Sorry if we offend, but such a display of so deadly a combination of ignorance and arrogance must represent the very height of hubris. Particularly in view of the inevitable consequences which have manifested at Fukushima, how is it that so few saw this pre-ordained and disastrous outcome, except by willful blindness?”
Japan: A Nation Consigned To Nuclear Armageddon

Numerous headlines over the past few weeks have been relentless in trumpeting Japan’s begrudging response to this global wakeup call. For the first time since nuclear power has been used in the land of Nippon, all 55 nuclear power plants now sit idle. This is of course very good news for the people of Japan. The question now remains how to go about remediating all of these vulnerable and unsafe nuclear reactors. Particularly because of those nuclear plants that are located anywhere along the Japanese coastline is this remediation imperative an existential necessity.

Japan nuclear power-free as last reactor shuts

Japan switches off last nuclear power plant; will it cope?

International Forces Are Responsible For Fukushima;
An Immediate Global Response Ought To Formulated

Since the very first news about the Fukushima nuclear disaster came to light, many industry researchers and various investigations have unveiled the multi-decade plot to foist nuclear power onto the islands of Japan. The many forces arrayed against the Japanese people were so formidable that this ill-fated enterprise could only come to such an unfortunate outcome. Just as humankind learned from the folly of dropping atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, Fukushima has served as an example of how not to implement nuclear power generation.

“Quite purposefully, no one ever stopped to consider the obvious and far-reaching ramifications of constructing 55 nuclear reactors on the most seismically active piece of property on planet Earth! And, that doesn’t count another 12 reactors in various stages of planning or development.”
An Open Letter to the People of Japan

If Japan is to remain habitable for future generations, there are certain (nuclear) matters confronting every corner of this island nation which must be addressed post haste. We know the people of Japan are up to it. The real question is whether the powers who have controlled their destiny are willing to back off for once since WWII.

Can the USA, the UK, Israel and France completely let go of their control of the Japanese economy, energy infrastructure and political process? Not only does the very existence of Japan rely on this relinquishment of control, the futures of the USA, UK and France do as well.

“Tokyo has the largest greater metro population in the world at about 34.3 million. Tokyo has the largest GDP of all major cities in the world – larger than both New York City and London. Tokyo is the economic/financial capital of the world’s 3rd largest national economy, as well as the primary economic engine of East Asia.”
As Fukushima Goes, So Goes Japan

Most are not aware, even at the very highest levels of the Global Control Matrix, but as Fukushima goes, so goes Japan. Taken to its logical conclusion we can say with absolute certainty that as Japan goes, so goes the entire planet. In reality, Japan is not only a super-charged trigger point in the Pacific Ring of Fire, it is also a lynchpin for the world economy as the previous article well explains. Therefore, we would highly advise the Anglo-American power structure to take proper responsibility for this unprecedented global catastrophe and show up in great force on the Honshu coastline to remediate and de-activate wherever still possible.

Global “Manhattan Project” Required

It is quite quizzical that those who run the Global Control Matrix have not yet seized the day. What is clearly at stake is the Pacific Ocean, its shorelines, numerous national economies, as well as myriad ecosystems and aquatic environments.
If they persist in this display of passivity and willful neglect, the planet may never recover. Surely, we can offer the observation that as the Pacific becomes exposed to massive volumes of radioactive water being dumped from the Fukushima site, eventually this radiation will find its way to the four corners of that ocean and beyond.

There has been a steady barrage of headlines lately aimed at those who can respond to this global catastrophe with some degree of cogency. A uniquely cohesive international response is urgently required if there is to be any hope of a successful remediation. Only a fully represented international think tank and implementation team has any chance of formulating a strategy that might be successful at fixing Fukushima.

We’re thinking of a Manhattan Project type of gravity. After all, if such a serious project was established in the interest of creating an atomic bomb, surely a similar endeavor can be initiated in the interest of saving the same country, that was ravaged by nuclear war, from Fukushima-generated radiation.

Japan has clearly shown that this disaster is way beyond their ability to manage and capacity to address in any meaningful way. Their entire culture seems to ensure that the real problems will be constantly swept under the rug. The problem this time around is that there may be no rug soon to sweep it under.

As Fukushima Goes, So Goes Japan

The preceding article clearly sets forth the thesis that if Tokyo requires evacuation in the future, the Japanese economy will immediately collapse. This eventuality would merely be the first domino to fall toward the collapse of the entire global economy. The prospect at this point is so real that those decision-makers at the top of the Global Control Matrix can’t afford not to inaugurate a worldwide effort to remediate Fukushima.

The Pacific Ocean Is Dying

How about the rest of the Pacific Ocean? What does the future hold in store for the largest body of water on Earth. One that circulates more water than any other ocean and possesses more coastline than all the others put together. The following headlines portend the future health of the Pacific, so all are encouraged to take serious notice.

Fukushima Daiichi Worker: Nothing can be done except to leak radioactive water! — Honestly feel that we are dumping massive amounts into ocean — Will spread all over world, reaching Hawaii and US soon

Nuclear Professor: 5,000 Hiroshima bombs worth of cesium-137 in spent fuel pool No. 4 — “Low estimate”

Doomsday scenarios spread about No. 4 reactor at Fukushima plant

Former Ambassador: No. 4 reactor a top national security issue for entire world — Could start “the ultimate catastrophe”

Japan Nuclear Expert: Humanity as a whole has literally never experienced something like Fukushima — “We will be fighting this radiation on the order of tens or hundreds of years”

The upshot of each of these articles is that the Pacific Ocean is extremely vulnerable to the radioactive waste being dumped into her waters at Fukushima. Should another catastrophic earthquake occur, it could create a new and more complicated nuclear disaster scenario that is truly irreparable. Even without any seismic activity affecting the nuclear sites, the current state of affairs has taken for granted that the Pacific Ocean will become a nuclear dumping ground for decades to come. It has not been lost on us that such an inevitability appears to be the only practical expedient available.

We are truly saddened by the great loss of marine life and harm to myriad aquatic and shoreline ecosystems. As the nuclear radiation is exported around the Asian Ring of Fire, genetic mutation will begin to affect every form of life — from phytoplankton to whales, from seabirds to mangroves, from dolphins to krill. Everything that lives near the Pacific will be at risk to some degree. Anyone who lives, works or plays in or around the Pacific will be compelled to evaluate their relationship to this great ocean.

What have we done to Mother Earth by siting nuclear power plants in the most seismically active region of the world?!

What in God’s Creation can possibly be done to fix it?

Never in the history of humankind has the planet been confronted with such a grave set of circumstances. Fukushima represents all that can go wrong when scientific applications and technological advancement within a crude industrial context have gone awry. Unfortunately, given the many trajectories that numerous fields of technological innovation are currently on, Fukushima and the BP Gulf oil spill of 2012 may only be the beginning of an accelerating period of technospheric breakdown which will plague the Earth.

Earthquake, Tsunami and Nuclear Meltdown Converge to Create Global Perfect Storm

Cosmic Convergence Research Group
Submitted: May 5, 2012
cosmicconvergence2012@gmail.com

Author’s Note:
NuclearReader.info has provided an invaluable service to the worldwide internet community by giving away their ebook currently linked here: http://www.nuclearreader.info/
The first chapter entitled “Hazards of Low Level Radioactivity” ought to be a must read for anyone impacted by Fukushima.
Also of critical significance, there is a phenomenon known as the Photoelectric Effect which weighs heavily throughout the entire contamination zone associated with the Fukushima nuclear disaster. The following article gives an important overview for those who want to know what we are really dealing with as a planetary civilization.
Photoelectron Induction in Uranium Particles by Chris Busby, PhD

Addendum:
There has been no mention in this essay of the massive amount of debris pollution brought about by the Japan earthquake and tsunami of March, 2011. We have chosen a photo-documentary instead to portray this state of affairs in the following addendum.

Here is the current flow and future map of debris pollution.

This debris is found in the "The Great Pacific Garbage Patch"

Special Notice:
The following article gives a much broader view of the current predicament which prevails across the planet. Clearly, technospheric breakdown is a phenomenon which few foresaw, otherwise we would not find ourselves at the edge of the precipice with respect to so many risky and dangerous technologies and misapplications of scientific developments.
For example, so committed is the world community to the hydrocarbon fuel paradigm that there appears to be no way of lessening our dependence on such an environmentally destructive energy source. Likewise, even in the face of Fukushima, many nations are unwilling to reconsider their dependence on the nuclear power paradigm.
This essay elucidates the forces and motivations at work which militate against sound, rational and safe energy policy.

Technospheric Breakdown Accelerates Epochal Change On Planet Earth

©2012 Cosmic Convergence 2012®. All rights reserved
Permission is granted to post this essay as long as it is linked back to the following url: http://cosmicconvergence.org/?p=641

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